Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 3.934960 4.203930 4.490854 4.821223 5.193028 5.600808 6.085019
2025-09-21 3.444915 3.808842 4.220083 4.724825 5.335683 6.062040 7.008572
2025-09-28 3.158940 3.570449 4.053328 4.672367 5.461364 6.458170 7.857115
2025-10-05 2.973054 3.418665 3.957415 4.673037 5.625855 6.895470 8.803779
2025-10-12 2.862185 3.342101 3.938188 4.756431 5.892243 7.487650 10.063135
2025-10-19 2.764642 3.270807 3.914305 4.823631 6.134529 8.069504 11.421695
2025-10-26 2.661594 3.182951 3.858665 4.837193 6.294772 8.543782 12.706705
2025-11-02 2.542238 3.065103 3.752815 4.767817 6.319380 8.801315 13.661000
2025-11-09 2.417574 2.932807 3.618103 4.644417 6.245330 8.881061 14.287702
2025-11-16 2.321593 2.833945 3.523185 4.570985 6.240171 9.073663 15.190679
2025-11-23 2.268043 2.789688 3.501277 4.603381 6.406372 9.590551 16.954959
2025-11-30 2.213865 2.741504 3.470294 4.618233 6.542785 10.071317 18.809327
2025-12-07 2.113410 2.626924 3.341142 4.476838 6.407611 10.025384 19.361430
2025-12-14 2.034733 2.540354 3.249408 4.389738 6.361335 10.155615 20.472640
2025-12-21 1.973339 2.475529 3.186096 4.343115 6.381272 10.423792 22.111794
2025-12-28 1.928996 2.433076 3.153612 4.343708 6.486251 10.891391 24.643269
2026-01-04 1.906516 2.420916 3.165561 4.417707 6.735529 11.731684 29.096671
2026-01-11 1.881740 2.404142 3.169202 4.477268 6.963179 12.574804 34.414998
2026-01-18 1.847163 2.371456 3.146417 4.489280 7.096863 13.216365 39.605213
2026-01-25 1.797752 2.315009 3.084001 4.427803 7.073243 13.440627 42.914801
2026-02-01 1.740125 2.244618 2.997079 4.318290 6.939693 13.342197 44.269347
2026-02-08 1.695181 2.192026 2.936582 4.253021 6.895033 13.489193 47.498655
2026-02-15 1.672997 2.172977 2.928662 4.281825 7.055548 14.267035 56.716099